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La Mesa, CA 91941-6433

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Getting Rid of Stretch Marks

Rick Roeder, FSA       February 2020

A small piece of unheralded December 2019 legislation will have adverse tax consequences on certain beneficiaries of deceased who had accumulated significant assets in their IRA account(s). For those who died in 2019 or prior, the mandated minimum IRA payout to beneficiaries was predicated, in large part, on the age of the beneficiary.

Suppose a person had died in 2019 with $1 million in their IRA account. Let’s further assume that their 40-year old child was the sole beneficiary. Under former law, let’s assume the child’s remaining life expectancy was roughly 40 years. Dividing 40 into 1 million produces an initial minimum annual payout of $25,000. Not only would the $25,000 usually be insufficient to move one into a dramatically higher marginal tax rate, the relatively small payouts mean that there was an opportunity for significant investment income, on a significant tax-deferred basis, during the lengthy payout period. Such minimum payments will generally increase over time due to tax-deferred investment income. In this example, let’s assume that the IRA monies earn annual investment earnings of 5%. Total anticipated payouts to the deceased’s child would exceed $3.2 million over the 40-year period. A 6% annual investment yield would increase total payouts to $4.2+ million. Hence, the nickname “stretch IRA.” If you like numeric details, we offer examples during the payout period (at end of article).

New days now! To avoid a punishing 50% tax on IRA assets, the maximum time for payouts has been markedly diminished to 10 years, unless a beneficiary fall into one of the exceptions (less than 10 years younger than deceased, a minor child or a surviving spouse). Let’s revisit our previous example. The initial minimum payout would increase to $100,000. In a 5% investment scenario, total anticipated payouts to the deceased’s child would be $1.3 million over the 10-year period. A 6% annual investment yield would increase total payouts to $1.4 million.

If a beneficiary is already in a reasonably high tax bracket, the IRA holder can elect to take an immediate tax hit by converting the IRA to a Roth IRA (where subsequent investment income is not taxed). The greater the anticipated income during the subsequent 10 years after the account holder’s death, the more attractive the Roth option. The Roth option is also attractive if one’s view is that future tax rates will increase. Another tax planning option would be to designate multiple beneficiaries.

The Ramble wonders if this legislation signals the beginning of a trend toward higher taxes on estates. The opposite has certainly been true in the 21st century. In 2003, the federal estate tax exclusion was $1 million, less than the 10% of the current exclusion amount of $11+ million. Wow! The Ramble will wonder more vigorously if the Democrats do well in the 2020 elections.

OLD LAW


OLD LAW
5% assumed annual earnings

6% assumed annual earnings








Remaining


Remaining

Pay Out    Annual

Balance Pay Out  Annual
Balance Period    Payout


Period  Payout

(years)



(years)
         1,000,000 40                  25,000

         1,000,000 40                  25,000
         1,025,000 39                  26,282

         1,035,000 39                  26,538
         1,049,968 38                  27,631

         1,070,562 38                  28,173
         1,074,836 37                  29,050

         1,106,623 37                  29,909
         1,099,528 36                  30,542

         1,143,111 36                  31,753
         1,123,962 35                  32,113

         1,179,945 35                  33,713
         1,148,047 34                  33,766

         1,217,029 34                  35,795
         1,171,683 33                  35,506

         1,254,256 33                  38,008
         1,194,761 32                  37,336

         1,291,503 32                  40,359
         1,217,163 31                  39,263

         1,328,634 31                  42,859
         1,238,758 30                  41,292

         1,365,493 30                  45,516
         1,259,404 29                  43,428

         1,401,906 29                  48,342
         1,278,947 28                  45,677

         1,437,679 28                  51,346
         1,297,217 27                  48,045

         1,472,594 27                  54,541
         1,314,033 26                  50,540

         1,506,409 26                  57,939
         1,329,195 25                  53,168

         1,538,854 25                  61,554
         1,342,487 24                  55,937

         1,569,632 24                  65,401
         1,353,674 23                  58,855

         1,598,408 23                  69,496
         1,362,503 22                  61,932

         1,624,817 22                  73,855
         1,368,696            
               
65,176


         1,648,450
                 78,498
         1,371,955 20                  68,598

         1,668,860 20                  83,443
         1,371,955 19                  72,208

         1,685,548 19                  88,713
         1,368,344 18                  76,019

         1,697,968 18                  94,332
         1,360,742 17                  80,044

         1,705,515 17                100,324
         1,348,736 16                  84,296

         1,707,521 16                106,720
         1,331,876 15                  88,792

         1,703,252 15                113,550
         1,309,679 14                  93,548

         1,691,897 14                120,850
         1,281,614 13                  98,586

         1,672,561 13                128,659
         1,247,109 12                103,926

         1,644,256 12                137,021
         1,205,539 11                109,594

         1,605,891 11                145,990
         1,156,221 10                115,622

         1,556,254 10                155,625
         1,098,410 9                122,046

         1,494,004 9                166,000
         1,031,285 8                128,911

         1,417,644 8                177,205
             953,939 7                136,277

         1,325,497 7                189,357
             865,359 6                144,226

         1,215,670 6                202,612
             764,400 5                152,880

         1,085,998 5                217,200
             649,740 4                162,435

             933,959 4                233,490
             519,792 3                173,264

             756,506 3                252,169
             372,518 2                186,259

             549,728 2                274,864
             204,885 1                204,885

             307,848 1                307,848








TOTAL PAYOUTS  3,242,954

TOTAL PAYOUTS   4,234,566
















NEW LAW


NEW LAW
5% assumed annual earnings

6% assumed annual earnings








Remaining


Remaining
Balance Pay Out    Annual

Balance Pay Out  Annual

Period    Payout


Period   Payout

(years)



(years)
         1,000,000 10                100,000

         1,000,000 10                100,000
             950,000 9                105,556

             960,000 9                106,667
             891,944 8                111,493

             910,933 8                113,867
             825,049 7                117,864

             851,723 7                121,675
             748,437 6                124,739

             781,151 6                130,192
             661,119 5                132,224

             697,829 5                139,566
             561,951 4                140,488

             600,133 4                150,033
             449,561 3                149,854

             486,107 3                162,036
             322,185 2                161,093

             353,238 2                176,619
             177,202 1                177,202

             197,813 1                197,813








TOTAL PAYOUTS            1,320,512

TOTAL PAYOUTS            1,398,467

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