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California 2021 Funding Assumption Survey
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Updated April 2021
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AssumedBase AssumedAmortizationValuationAssetTrailing Returns
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RANKPLAN SPONSOR
Investment
Wage "Excess" Period AssetSmoothing5 Year10 Year15 Year20 Year
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ReturnGrowth Return Corridor (years)(market percents)
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202120202019201820172016201520142013201120102009 (a)(b)(a) - (b)
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13
123455547101115
City of San Diego 5
6.50%3.05%3.45%
7-declining and part layered ;G/L layered 15. most level $$
Y: 80-12046.1
14
232266653455
CalPERS - Judges System II 1, 3
6.50%2.75%3.75%20; G/L 20 layered with some ramping; level $$N/A (market) N/A
15
3443433329910
San Mateo County
6.50%3.00%3.50%3 - declining; G/L 15 layeredY: 80-1205 with offsets4.98.0
16
455524423173713
City of San Jose (Safety) 9
6.625%3.00%3.625%most G/L 15 layeredY: 80-1205
17
59771612123129333440
City of San Jose (General) 9
6.625%3.00%3.625% most 19 - declining; most G/L layered 20 N53.85.5
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19
668878885687
LA Department of Water & Power
7.00%3.25%3.75% G/L 15 - layered Level $$ N56.387.89
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7181615292930323036278
Mendocino County
6.75%3.25%3.50%19-declining; G/L 18 layeredY: 75-12555.738.27
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81713123130282925252429
Sacramento County
6.75%3.00%3.75%Most 15 - declining; G/L 20 layeredY: 70-13076.368.43
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97303030212620141566
University of California 8
6.75%3.25%3.50%20-declining, G/L 20 layered Level $$ N59.58.3
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1086632224544
Contra Costa County
7.00%3.25%3.75%3 - declining; G/L 18 layered N56.678.11
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11109191817222231302930
San Diego County
7.00%3.25%3.75%5-rolling; G/L 20 layered but not less than 5 N5 105.267.49
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121110111014141213141311
Sonoma County
7.00%3.25%3.75%8-declining; G/L 20 layered N57.328.94
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1312119811111022202224
Fresno County
7.00%3.25%3.75%13-declining; G/L 15 layeredY: 70-13054.557.18
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141314131115151333323132
City of Fresno (Safety)
7.00%3.25%3.75% G/L 15-layered; (100+% FR); surplus over 110%-30 N55.428.94
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151415141216161434313233
City of Fresno (General) 6
7.00%3.25%3.75% G/L 15 layered (100+% FR); surplus over 110%-30 N55.418.94
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16151210920201618183031
Santa Barbara County
7.00%3.00%4.00%most 10-declining; G/L 19 layered and rampedN/A(market)N/A5.57.35.45.0
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17162624137768113736
Alameda-Contra Costa Transit 4
7.00%3.00%4.00% 8-declining; G/L 20 layeredY: 80-120
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181917161918171712343335
Orange County
7.00%3.25%3.75%14-declining; G/L 20 layered N56.827.13
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19201817212419159212114
Marin County 4
6.75%2.75%4.00% 10-declining; G/L 24 layered and rampedN/A (Market) N/A6.59.2
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2021191815101096121216
San Bernardino County
7.25%3.25%4.00%2-declining; most G/L layered 20 N54.356.61
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212321212019181823221517
Imperial County
7.00%3.25%3.75%11 - declining; G/L 15 layeredY: 70-13055.857.87
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222220202423212516171619
Los Angeles Fire & Police
7.00%3.25%3.75% most 17-declining; most G/L 20 layered;Y: 60-14076.458.78
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232523222828272824231720
Alameda County
7.00%3.25%3.75%12 - declining ; G/L 20 layeredY: 60-14059.748.32
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242422251499711131012
Ventura County
7.25%3.25%4.00%G/L 15 - layered N56.448.26
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252725262222363637393938
Stanislaus County
7.00%3.00%4.00%16 - decliningY: 80-12055.08.16.15.7
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262927272527252721353528
San Luis Obispo County
6.875%2.75%4.125%20- declining; G/L 20 layered N54.45.1
(Note: SLO Based on Actuarial value)
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27282929233131211516149
Merced County
7.00%2.75%4.25%13- declining; G/L 24 layered Both with ramping N/A(market) N/A6.58.45.75.0
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283131313332323026262022
City of Los Angeles
7.00%3.25%3.75%most 22-declining ; G/L 15-layeredY: 60-140 most 75.878.41
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293232323737292419191921
Tulare County
7.00%3.00%4.00%14-declining; G/L 19 layeredY: 70-130104.46.9
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303333343234343536404039
East Bay Municipal Utility
7.00%3.25%3.75%Pre-2012 layered 30; Otherwise G/L-20 layeredY: 70-13056.249.31
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312624232725242620242325
Kern County
7.25%3.25%4.00%15.5 - declining; G/L 18 layeredY: 50-15055.147.04
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323434333636373735292826CalSTRS7.00%3.50%3.50%26 years with some laddered increases of 0.5% N36.829.315.77
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333535372626231928282523
San Joaquin County 7
7.00%3.00%4.00%13-declining; G/L 15 layeredY: 80-12055.36.54.34.8
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343637363535353427272627
Los Angeles County
7.00%3.25%3.75%most 18- declining; G/L 20 layered N56.058.14
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353736353433333332373837
CalPERS 3
7.00%2.75%4.25% pre-2019 G/L 30; G/L 20 level $$ with certain ramping N/A(market) N/A5.89.15.8
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363028281713131110833
City & County of San Francisco
7.40%3.25%4.15%most 13-declining; G/L 20 layered N5
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NOTES:
Bold indicates change from previous survey.
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1: This does not reflect the Judges I system closed in 1994: features include pay-as-you-go funding and a 3% assumed investment return
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2: Legal agreement determines contribution level -- pegged to specified funded ratios
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3 Ramping up applies only to the investment portion of the gain/loss for first 5 years; not to the non-investment component
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4: 50% of "extraordinary" 2008/09 losses amortized over 30 years
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5 System is now closed for non-Police but subject to ongoing litigation and court challenges; $275,495,017 is minimum UAL amortization payment
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6 Amortization will revert to average future working lifetime, roughly 10 years, in event FR becomes < 100%
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7 Extraordinary 2008 actuarial loss amortized over 30 years
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8 Post-7/1/16 hires have option to elect to be in defined contribution ("DC") plan; to date, roughly 35% have elected DC
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6.5% contribution (increasing 0.5% per year until 9% is reached) will be made toward UAL for those in DC plan.
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Additional state contributions may be required as phased employer rate up to 17% and 8% (approximate) employee rate are significantly below actuarial funding policy rate.
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9 Amortization payments increase at less than wage inflation; for San Jose General-2.75%; for San Jose Safety-2.25%
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10 Unrecognized losses as of June 30, 2019 combined into one layer of amortization over 4.5 years
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Survey and related text will be posted on roederfinancial.com We can be contacted at (619) 300-8500
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FR = Funded ratio
G/L = actuarial gains/actuarial losses
"Layered" means a new amotization base is created each year.
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POB = Pension Obligation Bond
DC = Defined Contribution
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Effective with the 2013 survey, the number of entities was reduced from 40 to 37, eliminating three small closed systems. Effective with the 2021 survey, the number of entities reduced to 36 to reflect omission of another closed system.
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The amortization periods for assumption changes are often longer than for G/L and are not shown here. Often, there is a separate amortization policy applicable to benefit changes.