A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N | O | P | Q | R | S | T | U | V | W | X | Y | Z | AA | AB | |
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1 | California 2021 Funding Assumption Survey | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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4 | Updated April 2021 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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7 | Assumed | Base | Assumed | Amortization | Valuation | Asset | Trailing Returns | |||||||||||||||||||||
8 | RANK | PLAN SPONSOR | Investment | Wage | "Excess" | Period | Asset | Smoothing | 5 Year | 10 Year | 15 Year | 20 Year | ||||||||||||||||
10 | Return | Growth | Return | Corridor | (years) | (market percents) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
11 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | (a) | (b) | (a) - (b) | |||||||||||||
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13 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 15 | City of San Diego 5 | 6.50% | 3.05% | 3.45% | 7-declining and part layered ;G/L layered 15. most level $$ | Y: 80-120 | 4 | 6.1 | ||||||||
14 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | CalPERS - Judges System II 1, 3 | 6.50% | 2.75% | 3.75% | 20; G/L 20 layered with some ramping; level $$ | N/A (market) | N/A | |||||||||
15 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 10 | San Mateo County | 6.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% | 3 - declining; G/L 15 layered | Y: 80-120 | 5 with offsets | 4.9 | 8.0 | |||||||
16 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 13 | City of San Jose (Safety) 9 | 6.625% | 3.00% | 3.625% | most G/L 15 layered | Y: 80-120 | 5 | |||||||||
17 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 29 | 33 | 34 | 40 | City of San Jose (General) 9 | 6.625% | 3.00% | 3.625% | most 19 - declining; most G/L layered 20 | N | 5 | 3.8 | 5.5 | |||||||
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19 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 7 | LA Department of Water & Power | 7.00% | 3.25% | 3.75% | G/L 15 - layered Level $$ | N | 5 | 6.38 | 7.89 | |||||||
20 | 7 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 32 | 30 | 36 | 27 | 8 | Mendocino County | 6.75% | 3.25% | 3.50% | 19-declining; G/L 18 layered | Y: 75-125 | 5 | 5.73 | 8.27 | |||||||
21 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 29 | Sacramento County | 6.75% | 3.00% | 3.75% | Most 15 - declining; G/L 20 layered | Y: 70-130 | 7 | 6.36 | 8.43 | |||||||
22 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 21 | 26 | 20 | 14 | 15 | 6 | 6 | University of California 8 | 6.75% | 3.25% | 3.50% | 20-declining, G/L 20 layered Level $$ | N | 5 | 9.5 | 8.3 | |||||||
23 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | Contra Costa County | 7.00% | 3.25% | 3.75% | 3 - declining; G/L 18 layered | N | 5 | 6.67 | 8.11 | |||||||
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25 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 22 | 22 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 30 | San Diego County | 7.00% | 3.25% | 3.75% | 5-rolling; G/L 20 layered but not less than 5 | N | 5 10 | 5.26 | 7.49 | |||||||
26 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 11 | Sonoma County | 7.00% | 3.25% | 3.75% | 8-declining; G/L 20 layered | N | 5 | 7.32 | 8.94 | |||||||
27 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 24 | Fresno County | 7.00% | 3.25% | 3.75% | 13-declining; G/L 15 layered | Y: 70-130 | 5 | 4.55 | 7.18 | |||||||
28 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 32 | City of Fresno (Safety) | 7.00% | 3.25% | 3.75% | G/L 15-layered; (100+% FR); surplus over 110%-30 | N | 5 | 5.42 | 8.94 | |||||||
29 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 34 | 31 | 32 | 33 | City of Fresno (General) 6 | 7.00% | 3.25% | 3.75% | G/L 15 layered (100+% FR); surplus over 110%-30 | N | 5 | 5.41 | 8.94 | |||||||
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31 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 30 | 31 | Santa Barbara County | 7.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | most 10-declining; G/L 19 layered and ramped | N/A(market) | N/A | 5.5 | 7.3 | 5.4 | 5.0 | |||||
32 | 17 | 16 | 26 | 24 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 36 | Alameda-Contra Costa Transit 4 | 7.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 8-declining; G/L 20 layered | Y: 80-120 | ||||||||||
33 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 34 | 33 | 35 | Orange County | 7.00% | 3.25% | 3.75% | 14-declining; G/L 20 layered | N | 5 | 6.82 | 7.13 | |||||||
34 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 21 | 24 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 21 | 14 | Marin County 4 | 6.75% | 2.75% | 4.00% | 10-declining; G/L 24 layered and ramped | N/A (Market) | N/A | 6.5 | 9.2 | |||||||
35 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 16 | San Bernardino County | 7.25% | 3.25% | 4.00% | 2-declining; most G/L layered 20 | N | 5 | 4.35 | 6.61 | |||||||
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37 | 21 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 23 | 22 | 15 | 17 | Imperial County | 7.00% | 3.25% | 3.75% | 11 - declining; G/L 15 layered | Y: 70-130 | 5 | 5.85 | 7.87 | |||||||
38 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 24 | 23 | 21 | 25 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 19 | Los Angeles Fire & Police | 7.00% | 3.25% | 3.75% | most 17-declining; most G/L 20 layered; | Y: 60-140 | 7 | 6.45 | 8.78 | |||||||
39 | 23 | 25 | 23 | 22 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 24 | 23 | 17 | 20 | Alameda County | 7.00% | 3.25% | 3.75% | 12 - declining ; G/L 20 layered | Y: 60-140 | 5 | 9.74 | 8.32 | |||||||
40 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 12 | Ventura County | 7.25% | 3.25% | 4.00% | G/L 15 - layered | N | 5 | 6.44 | 8.26 | |||||||
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42 | 25 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 22 | 22 | 36 | 36 | 37 | 39 | 39 | 38 | Stanislaus County | 7.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 16 - declining | Y: 80-120 | 5 | 5.0 | 8.1 | 6.1 | 5.7 | |||||
43 | 26 | 29 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 21 | 35 | 35 | 28 | San Luis Obispo County | 6.875% | 2.75% | 4.125% | 20- declining; G/L 20 layered | N | 5 | 4.4 | 5.1 | (Note: SLO Based on Actuarial value) | ||||||
44 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 23 | 31 | 31 | 21 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 9 | Merced County | 7.00% | 2.75% | 4.25% | 13- declining; G/L 24 layered Both with ramping | N/A(market) | N/A | 6.5 | 8.4 | 5.7 | 5.0 | |||||
45 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 30 | 26 | 26 | 20 | 22 | City of Los Angeles | 7.00% | 3.25% | 3.75% | most 22-declining ; G/L 15-layered | Y: 60-140 | most 7 | 5.87 | 8.41 | |||||||
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47 | 29 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 37 | 37 | 29 | 24 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 21 | Tulare County | 7.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 14-declining; G/L 19 layered | Y: 70-130 | 10 | 4.4 | 6.9 | |||||||
48 | 30 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 40 | 40 | 39 | East Bay Municipal Utility | 7.00% | 3.25% | 3.75% | Pre-2012 layered 30; Otherwise G/L-20 layered | Y: 70-130 | 5 | 6.24 | 9.31 | |||||||
49 | 31 | 26 | 24 | 23 | 27 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 20 | 24 | 23 | 25 | Kern County | 7.25% | 3.25% | 4.00% | 15.5 - declining; G/L 18 layered | Y: 50-150 | 5 | 5.14 | 7.04 | |||||||
50 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 36 | 36 | 37 | 37 | 35 | 29 | 28 | 26 | CalSTRS | 7.00% | 3.50% | 3.50% | 26 years with some laddered increases of 0.5% | N | 3 | 6.82 | 9.31 | 5.77 | ||||||
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52 | 33 | 35 | 35 | 37 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 19 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 23 | San Joaquin County 7 | 7.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 13-declining; G/L 15 layered | Y: 80-120 | 5 | 5.3 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 4.8 | |||||
53 | 34 | 36 | 37 | 36 | 35 | 35 | 35 | 34 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | Los Angeles County | 7.00% | 3.25% | 3.75% | most 18- declining; G/L 20 layered | N | 5 | 6.05 | 8.14 | |||||||
54 | 35 | 37 | 36 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 37 | 38 | 37 | CalPERS 3 | 7.00% | 2.75% | 4.25% | pre-2019 G/L 30; G/L 20 level $$ with certain ramping | N/A(market) | N/A | 5.8 | 9.1 | 5.8 | ||||||
55 | 36 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 3 | City & County of San Francisco | 7.40% | 3.25% | 4.15% | most 13-declining; G/L 20 layered | N | 5 | |||||||||
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59 | NOTES: | Bold indicates change from previous survey. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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61 | 1: This does not reflect the Judges I system closed in 1994: features include pay-as-you-go funding and a 3% assumed investment return | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
62 | 2: Legal agreement determines contribution level -- pegged to specified funded ratios | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
63 | 3 Ramping up applies only to the investment portion of the gain/loss for first 5 years; not to the non-investment component | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
64 | 4: 50% of "extraordinary" 2008/09 losses amortized over 30 years | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
65 | 5 System is now closed for non-Police but subject to ongoing litigation and court challenges; $275,495,017 is minimum UAL amortization payment | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
66 | 6 Amortization will revert to average future working lifetime, roughly 10 years, in event FR becomes < 100% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
67 | 7 Extraordinary 2008 actuarial loss amortized over 30 years | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
68 | 8 Post-7/1/16 hires have option to elect to be in defined contribution ("DC") plan; to date, roughly 35% have elected DC | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
69 | 6.5% contribution (increasing 0.5% per year until 9% is reached) will be made toward UAL for those in DC plan. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
70 | Additional state contributions may be required as phased employer rate up to 17% and 8% (approximate) employee rate are significantly below actuarial funding policy rate. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
71 | 9 Amortization payments increase at less than wage inflation; for San Jose General-2.75%; for San Jose Safety-2.25% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
72 | 10 Unrecognized losses as of June 30, 2019 combined into one layer of amortization over 4.5 years | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
73 | Survey and related text will be posted on roederfinancial.com We can be contacted at (619) 300-8500 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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75 | FR = Funded ratio | G/L = actuarial gains/actuarial losses | "Layered" means a new amotization base is created each year. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
76 | POB = Pension Obligation Bond | DC = Defined Contribution | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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78 | Effective with the 2013 survey, the number of entities was reduced from 40 to 37, eliminating three small closed systems. Effective with the 2021 survey, the number of entities reduced to 36 to reflect omission of another closed system. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
79 | The amortization periods for assumption changes are often longer than for G/L and are not shown here. Often, there is a separate amortization policy applicable to benefit changes. |