California 2016 Funding
Assumption Survey |
Updated April
2016 |
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Assumed |
Base |
Assumed |
Amortization |
Valuation |
Asset |
RANK |
PLAN SPONSOR |
Investment |
Wage |
"Excess" |
Period |
Asset |
Smoothing |
2016 |
2015 |
2014 |
2013 |
2011 |
2010 |
2009 |
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Return |
Inflation |
Investment |
(years) |
Corridor |
Period |
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Return |
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(a) |
(b) |
(a) - (b) |
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1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
CalPERS - Legislative (closed) |
5.75% |
3.00% |
2.75% |
30-declining but FR
> 100% |
Y: 80-120 |
15 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
Contra Costa County |
|
7.25% |
4.00% |
3.25% |
7 - declining; G/L 18 layered |
N |
5 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
9 |
9 |
10 |
San Mateo County |
|
7.25% |
3.50% |
3.75% |
8 - declining; G/L 15 layered |
Y: 80-120 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
23 |
17 |
3 |
7 |
13 |
City of San Jose (Safety) |
7.00% |
3.25% |
3.75% |
most G/L 16
layered |
Y: 80-120 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
7 |
10 |
11 |
15 |
City of San Diego 5 |
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7.125% |
3.175% |
3.95% |
12-declining;G/L layered 15. most level $$ |
Y: 80-120 |
4 |
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6 |
6 |
5 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
CalPERS - Judges 1, 3 |
7.00% |
3.00% |
4.00% |
30-declining; G/L 30 layered (100+% FR) |
N/A (market) |
N/A |
7 |
7 |
6 |
8 |
11 |
37 |
36 |
Alameda-Contra
Costa Transit 4 |
7.25% |
3.00% |
4.25% |
most 13-declining to 12 then open |
Y: 80-120 |
5 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
5 |
6 |
8 |
7 |
LA Department of Water & Power |
7.50% |
4.00% |
3.50% |
15 - layered
Level $$ |
N |
5 |
9 |
9 |
7 |
11 |
13 |
10 |
12 |
Ventura County |
|
7.50% |
3.50% |
4.00% |
4-declining; G/L 15 - layered |
N |
5 |
10 |
10 |
9 |
6 |
12 |
12 |
16 |
San Bernardino County |
7.50% |
3.75% |
3.75% |
7-declining; G/L layered 20 |
N |
5 |
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11 |
11 |
10 |
22 |
20 |
22 |
24 |
Fresno County |
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7.25% |
3.75% |
3.50% |
18-declining; G/L 15 layered |
Y: 70-130 |
5 |
12 |
12 |
31 |
29 |
33 |
34 |
40 |
City of San Jose (General) |
7.00% |
2.85% |
4.15% |
most 24 -
declining; G/L layered 20 |
N |
5 |
13 |
13 |
11 |
10 |
8 |
3 |
3 |
City & County of San Francisco |
7.50% |
3.75% |
3.75% |
18-layered; G/L 20 layered |
N |
5 |
14 |
14 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
13 |
11 |
Sonoma County |
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7.50% |
4.00% |
3.50% |
13-declining; G/L 20 layered |
N |
5 |
15 |
15 |
13 |
33 |
32 |
31 |
32 |
City of Fresno (Safety) |
7.50% |
3.75% |
3.75% |
G/L 15-layered (100+% FR) |
N |
5 |
16 |
16 |
14 |
34 |
31 |
32 |
33 |
City of Fresno (General) 6 |
7.50% |
3.75% |
3.75% |
G/L 15 layered
(100+% FR) |
N |
5 |
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17 |
22 |
22 |
31 |
30 |
29 |
30 |
San Diego County |
|
7.50% |
3.75% |
3.75% |
9-declining; G/L 20
layered |
N |
5 |
18 |
17 |
17 |
12 |
34 |
33 |
35 |
Orange County |
|
7.25% |
3.50% |
3.75% |
18-declining; G/L 20 layered |
N |
5 |
19 |
18 |
18 |
23 |
22 |
15 |
17 |
Imperial County |
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7.50% |
3.75% |
3.75% |
16 - declining; G/L 15 layered |
Y: 70-130 |
5 |
20 |
20 |
16 |
18 |
18 |
30 |
31 |
Santa Barbara County 3 |
7.50% |
3.50% |
4.00% |
most 15-declining; G/L 19 layered |
N/A(market) |
N/A |
21 |
26 |
20 |
14 |
15 |
6 |
6 |
University of California 10 |
7.25% |
3.50% |
3.75% |
25-declining, G/L 20 layered Level $$ |
N |
5 |
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22 |
36 |
36 |
37 |
39 |
39 |
38 |
Stanislaus County 5 |
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7.25% |
3.25% |
4.00% |
21 - declining |
Y: 80-120 |
5 |
23 |
21 |
25 |
16 |
17 |
16 |
19 |
Los Angeles Fire & Police |
7.50% |
4.00% |
3.50% |
Non- G/L most 22 declining; |
Y: 60-140 |
7 |
24 |
19 |
15 |
9 |
21 |
21 |
14 |
Marin County
4 |
|
7.50% |
3.25% |
4.25% |
most 16 declining |
Y: 80-120 |
5 |
25 |
24 |
26 |
20 |
24 |
23 |
25 |
Kern County |
|
7.50% |
3.75% |
3.75% |
20.5 - declining; G/L 18 layered |
Y: 50-150 |
5 |
26 |
23 |
19 |
28 |
28 |
25 |
23 |
San Joaquin County 7 |
7.50% |
3.25% |
4.25% |
18-declining; G/L 15 layered |
Y: 80-120 |
5 |
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27 |
25 |
27 |
21 |
35 |
35 |
28 |
San Luis Obispo County 8 |
7.25% |
3.75% |
3.50% |
25- declining |
N |
5 |
28 |
27 |
28 |
24 |
23 |
17 |
20 |
Alameda County |
|
7.60% |
3.75% |
3.85% |
17 - declining ; G/L 20 layered |
Y: 60-140 |
5 |
29 |
30 |
32 |
30 |
36 |
27 |
8 |
Mendocino County |
|
7.25% |
3.75% |
3.50% |
24-declining; G/L 18 layered |
Y: 75-125 |
5 |
30 |
28 |
29 |
25 |
25 |
24 |
29 |
Sacramento County |
|
7.50% |
3.50% |
4.00% |
Most 20 - declining; G/L 20 layered |
Y: 70-130 |
7 |
31 |
31 |
21 |
15 |
16 |
14 |
9 |
Merced County |
|
7.75% |
3.00% |
4.75% |
14- declining;G/L 24 layered and ramped |
N/A(market) |
N/A |
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32 |
32 |
30 |
26 |
26 |
20 |
22 |
City of Los Angeles |
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7.50% |
4.00% |
3.50% |
most 27-declining ; G/L 15-layered |
Y: 60-140 |
7 |
33 |
33 |
33 |
32 |
37 |
38 |
37 |
CalPERS 3 |
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7.50% |
3.00% |
4.50% |
19-declining with 5-year ramping |
N/A(market) |
N/A |
34 |
34 |
35 |
36 |
40 |
40 |
39 |
East Bay Municipal Utility |
7.50% |
3.50% |
4.00% |
most 22-declining; Future G/L-20 layered |
Y: 70-130 |
5 |
35 |
35 |
34 |
27 |
27 |
26 |
27 |
Los Angeles County |
|
7.50% |
3.50% |
4.00% |
24 - declining;
G/L 30 layered |
N |
5 |
36 |
37 |
37 |
35 |
29 |
28 |
26 |
CalSTRS |
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7.50% |
3.75% |
3.75% |
32 years with laddered increases |
N |
3 |
37 |
29 |
24 |
19 |
19 |
19 |
21 |
Tulare County 9 |
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7.65% |
3.00% |
4.65% |
19-declining; G/L 19 layered |
N |
10 |
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NOTES: |
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Bold
indicates change from previous survey. |
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1: This does not reflect the Judges I system
closed in 1994: features include
pay-as-you-go funding and a 4.25% assumed investment return |
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2: Legal agreement determines contribution
level -- pegged to specified funded ratios |
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3: Instead of asset smoothing, contribution
smoothing employed to approximate 25-year amortization and 5-year asset
smoothing |
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4: 50% of
"extraordinary" 2008/09 losses amortized over 30 years |
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5 System is closed for non-Police; Investment
return to be reduced to 7.0% for 2016 valuation. |
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6 Amortization will revert to average future working
lifetime, roughly 10 years, in event FR becomes < 100% |
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7 Extraordinary 2008
actuarial loss amortized over 30 years |
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8 2008 actuarial
losses amortized over 10 years |
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9 Assumed Investment
return scheduled to decrease by 0.05% annually |
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10 Full funding expected to occur by roughly
2043 based on anticipated DC plan election rates for new participants |
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Survey and related text will be posted on roederfinancial.com We can be
contacted at (619) 300-8500 |
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FR
= Funded ratio |
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G/L
= actuarial gains/actuarial
losses |
"Layered" means a new amotization base is created each year. |
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POB
= Pension Obligation Bond |
DC = Defined Contribution |
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Effective with the 2013 survey, the number of
entities was reduced from 40 to 37, eliminating three small closed systems. |
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The amortization periods for assumption
changes are often longer than for G/L and are not shown here. Often, there is a separate amortization
policy applicable to benefit changes. |
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